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Old 12-17-2013, 09:04 PM   #16
CarolinaBand
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Default Re: AP All-Americans and Recruiting Rankings.

Quote:
Originally Posted by GarnetInChicago View Post
Ugh, this discussion again?

1) Star ratings are not the end-all, be-all. Coaches' evaluations of course matter.
2) Yes, 2-star and 3-star players can become studs too.

BUT

If you look at the likelihood of 1 of 20-30 five-star players becoming a college standout versus 1 of 200 four-star players becoming a college standout versus the likelihood of 1 of 1000 3-star players becoming a college standout .... the numbers pretty clearly reveal you have a substantially higher likelihood of getting a player who turns out to be great once he gets to college from the 5-star rated player pool than you do from the lower-rated players pool.

OF COURSE that doesn't turn out to be true every single time. OF COURSE coaches can find diamonds in the rough that the ratings people had lower-rated. Does that mean these ratings people are completely off their rockers and getting these rankings wrong or that they don't matter? NO.
Hey guy...! Quit bringing logic and reason into this. I want to keep manipulating numbers so that they fit into my preconceived opinion on things!
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