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Old 09-04-2014, 01:35 PM   #5
GabbieM
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Default Re: Weather on Saturday

In advance, this stuff changes and weather models aren't correct 100% ever... but..

Looked over a few computer models and they look pretty spotty at best around game time. Nothing really stands out as a "omg we will have a delayed game!"

Even the "amazing" ECMWF (Euro model) that runs much better than our American models shows the same. Maybe a bit more widespread stuff going on by Monday of next week... but trace amounts this weekend.

None of these models have been very good at picking up some of the severe storm cells of late... which is understandable.. to get the pop ups that could cause problems is dependent on the following conditions:
1) Did we get a lot of sun or was it cloudy? If sunny most the day, daytime heating aids storm development.
2) Is there any energy in the atmosphere swinging through to act as a "trigger" to get the storms to develop?

Thats about it in the summer time around these parts. ^


Snippet from the National Weather Service Forecast Discussion:
Quote:
THE GFS AND ECMWF DISPLAY A PRE-FRONTAL TROUGH IN THE FORECAST
AREA SATURDAY WITH THE COLD FRONT MOVING INTO THE AREA SATURDAY
NIGHT AND SUNDAY. THE MODELS SHOW THE FRONT JUST SOUTH OF THE AREA
MONDAY AND TUESDAY WITH THE FEATURE LIFTING NORTHWARD WEDNESDAY.
THE PATTERN SUPPORTS A CHANCE OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS THROUGH
THE MEDIUM-RANGE PERIOD. THE GFS...ECMWF...AND EKD MOS INDICATE
THE GREATEST SHOWER CHANCE SUNDAY AND MONDAY.
THE ABOVE NORMAL
TEMPERATURES SHOULD CONTINUE AHEAD OF THE FRONT THROUGH SATURDAY.
EXPECT NEAR NORMAL TEMPERATURES DURING THE REST OF THE PERIOD.
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