Welcome to Cockytalk!
Thank you for visiting our forum. As a guest, you have limited access to view some discussion and articles. By joining our free community, you will be able to view all discussions and articles, post your own topics, communicate privately with other members (PM), respond to polls, upload photos, participate in Pick'Em contests and access many other special features. Registration is fast, simple and absolutely free, so please join our community today!!
If you have any problems registering or logging in, please contact our Admins. Thanks!
|Today's Top 10|
|Posters (by posts)||Threads (by views)||Newest Posts||Gamecock Headlines|
||Thread Tools||Display Modes|
|08-22-2013, 05:33 PM||#1|
Join Date: Aug 2005
A UNC Analysis - Their Offense
I had a few extra minutes last night to look at game film. Here's my take on next week's game.
Formations - Expect to see a LOT of 4 WR/1 RB shotgun; 3WR/2RB shotgun. And their TE will often line up as a slot receiver.
a. Quinshad Davis/Eric Ebron/And Other Receivers.
I realize his recruiting story has several people irked... but, Q Davis is a player. We missed out. He came on strong in November of last year. He had multiple 100 yard games to end his freshman campaign. His strength is catching the fades or long, jump balls. He has some impressive moves in YAC. He's a big boy running down field and runs right through most arm tackles. I'd expect he'll be targeted at least 10 times against us and could easily surpass 100 yards receiving. He'll be pumped up to play in his home state in front of a crowd. Eric Ebron is a TE, but, like Quinshad Davis, he's a big target that does well with deep passes. He's really more of a WR. I'm interested to see how our Defense opts to guard Ebron. Watch out for the fade routes. The Tarheel's other receivers (Singleton and Tapley) are plenty experienced and know the offense. All of these guys are great at leaping over smaller CBs and making the play.
b. Bryn Renner.
A lot of people love this guy, but he's not really a QB that spends a lot of time throwing over the middle in traffic. His strength is standing in the shotgun, reading the defense (man/zone or cover1/2/3), dropping 3 steps and making the soft throw deep to one-on-one coverage (in man) or in between the short and deep zones on the edges. UNC sends its WRs, TEs, and even RBs (play action) on deep fly patterns pretty often. Renner's precision over the top and his receivers ability to make a play on the ball really help their passing attack. He'll also throw a lot of WR screens. I'd expect to see at least 5 designed screens (hb/bubble/jailbreaks) against us... especially to negate the speed of our Dline. Don't expect Renner to be much of a running threat, despite their use of the zone read. He ran for a little over 60 yards last season, because on zone read plays he almost always handed the ball off. In my opinion, Renner might not have as good of year this year, just because he doesn't have a go-to RB to rely on as he did last year. I really hope our Defensive Ends key on the RB and force Renner to make plays with his feet.
c. Run Offense.
They lost their star RB last year to the NFL (Giovanni Bernard). Most of their runs are either sprint draws, delayed draws or option runs out of the zone read. Their RBs are good, but nothing great. They'l employ a Running Back By Committee approach this game with Blue (power) and Morris (speed). They remind me a lot of those Big 12 teams (OK State, Baylor, Texas Tech) that rarely run anything except the shotgun (unless they're on the goalline), and it seems as if 95% of their runs are draws. Plus, they'll use the RBs quite a bit in their passing game. They rarely seem to stay in pass protection. So, watch for the RBs to catch more than they run.
Watch for UNC to employ a lot of pre-snap motion with quick screens, 10 yard curls/hooks, interspersed with draws and a deep fades. Like Clemson last year, their goal is to get the ball out of Renner's hands as fast as possible. It seems as if they want to either throw the ball on a screen or throw it long (beyond 15 yards)... Renner doesn't like to thread the needle within 5-10 yards of the line of scrimmage, but he's not afraid to throw into coverage deep because he has so much faith in his big receivers. Renner makes his living throwing deep along the sidelines and occasionally lofting it over a safety or linebacker's out-stretched hands, smack dab in the middle of the field.
The one area I'm most concerned about is how our safeties read and react, especially with UNC's use of the shotgun play action passes. Also, I'm concerned about our secondary depth. I'd bet Ahmad Christian is going to get plenty of time (30+ snaps) as a nickel back or substitute for Legree and Hampton this game. I wouldn't be surprised to see 9 guys used in our CB/Safety rotations in order to help give our guys a breath.
The key is to make UNC one-dimensional. Take away the running game and allow our LBs to drop a few steps and help our secondary focus on the passing attack. We'll likely give up 225+ yards in the air. We need to be more concerned with what UNC can do in the redzone. This is where our secondary really needs to buckle down and prevent the taller UNC receivers/tight ends from catching those fade passes and 10 yard hooks. Keep NC from scoring more than 28 points and we should win this one. I'd also expect we have at least one, and possibly two interceptions. This is the type of QB that an athletic safety loves to face.
I always dread first games. Usually, every one is a little rusty and sloppy. Since NC has lost several key members of its offensive line, I'd expect them to make a few miscues. But, even if NC is down by 21 pts, they're still going to calmly throw it around the field. They sort of remind me of last year's Tennessee team. They will absolutely destroy a soft prevent defense.
Also, North Carolina didn't really perform well on the road last year. They lost to Wake and Duke on the road. I'd expect the crowd at Willy-B to create some problems for them because they make a LOT of pre-snap changes. So... be loud, be proud, and expect UNC to throw the ball around the yard.
My prediction - UNC scores 24 pts.
Last edited by longcock; 08-23-2013 at 09:49 AM.