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Old 07-09-2018, 10:08 AM   #1
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Default Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

30/1, tied with A&M.

Interestingly, we trail Mizzou, who comes in at 20/1.

https://www.thestate.com/sports/coll...214544344.html
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Old 07-09-2018, 11:11 AM   #2
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

well missouri has had more success winning the east in 6 years than we have had in 26.

i still cant believe we finished 4th and 8th without winning our side of the conference.
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Old 07-09-2018, 11:16 AM   #3
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

Another surprise for me is that Florida is twice as likely to win it as we are. They don't have a QB, had poor recruiting classes the last two years and several players have been suspended from the team. The only change is the head coach who in my mind is average in the league at best.
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Old 07-09-2018, 12:20 PM   #4
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

You have to remember that odds are created to get people to bet. Since we've never won the SEC people are less likely to bet on it. It needs to happen once before the betters will consider it a higher probability.
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Old 07-09-2018, 12:35 PM   #5
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

We have lost to Kentucky four years in a row....end that streak and then we can talk about the East
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Old 07-09-2018, 12:39 PM   #6
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

funny I do remember winning the East one time. Not sure why the love for Missouri and Florida. Missiouri do think will be good the will definitely have a good offense. We'll be a better team though. Florida.... I think people think highly of them simply because they are Florida. Because some many people are just in denial that they just aren't good right now. And A&M being tied with us....um no. We're ahead of them as well and our odds are better beause we are in the East and they are in he west. Our path is way more favorable.
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Old 07-09-2018, 12:43 PM   #7
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

Odds aren't predictions. They're there to generate money for the books. If USC is 30:1, it's because that's the sweet spot between generating interest in the bet versus the potential to payout. In that regard, I feel it's more a representation of what the general gambling public thinks of our program (which isn't that much right now, and you can't blame them too much for it).
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Old 07-09-2018, 12:55 PM   #8
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

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Originally Posted by cocknblue View Post
We have lost to Kentucky four years in a row....end that streak and then we can talk about the East
This is true
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Old 07-09-2018, 02:26 PM   #9
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

I could easily see 2nd place in the East coming down between us and Mizzou. 1st if we handle GA.
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Old 07-09-2018, 02:31 PM   #10
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

No way Mizzo comes into Columbia SC and beats us. No way. No way they are a better pick than us to win the East. Bookies trying to get interest early I guess.
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Old 07-09-2018, 04:25 PM   #11
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

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Originally Posted by CockTail View Post
Another surprise for me is that Florida is twice as likely to win it as we are. They don't have a QB, had poor recruiting classes the last two years.
Fake News. The last three UF recruiting classes ranked 14 in 2016, 9 in 2017 and 18 in 2018. Carolina ranked 26 in 2016, 16 in 2017 and 19 in 2018.
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Old 07-09-2018, 04:37 PM   #12
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

Count me in the boat that thinks Florida might be pretty good this year. It'll be UGA, UF, USC battling for the division.
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Old 07-09-2018, 06:32 PM   #13
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

Who cares
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Old 07-09-2018, 07:19 PM   #14
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

It's cool. Let's be the underdog.
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Old 07-09-2018, 07:41 PM   #15
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

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Originally Posted by cocknblue View Post
We have lost to Kentucky four years in a row....end that streak and then we can talk about the East
Actually not true, the one time we went to Atlanta we lost to UK that season. I want to beat them but based on history not essential, beating UGA is essential.
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Old 07-09-2018, 09:20 PM   #16
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

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Old 07-10-2018, 08:25 AM   #17
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

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Originally Posted by gotrice? View Post
Actually not true, the one time we went to Atlanta we lost to UK that season. I want to beat them but based on history not essential, beating UGA is essential.
Well, let's be honest about that SECCG. We had 3 conference losses and nobody is going to routinely make the SECCG with 3 conference losses. Also, we beat UF, UGA, UT and #1 Bama, which is the only way we could absorb the loss to UK.

In a standard year, if you lose to UK it's not a good sign for your conference fortunes.
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Old 07-10-2018, 08:43 AM   #18
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

The odds go up significantly if we start off 2 and 0...

Last edited by Eutaw Kid; 07-10-2018 at 08:43 AM.. Reason: Left out a word
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Old 07-10-2018, 09:23 AM   #19
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

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Originally Posted by Lancelot View Post
Well, let's be honest about that SECCG. We had 3 conference losses and nobody is going to routinely make the SECCG with 3 conference losses. Also, we beat UF, UGA, UT and #1 Bama, which is the only way we could absorb the loss to UK.

In a standard year, if you lose to UK it's not a good sign for your conference fortunes.
Not a good sign but also not something that kills your chances either. In the end it's 1 conference loss and doesn't determine how you do in the rest of your games.
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Old 07-10-2018, 09:26 AM   #20
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Default Re: Odds of winning SEC: Gamecocks tie for 8th

How to do a preseason prediction:

  • Step 1: Copy and paste the previous year's wins/losses.
  • Step 2: Adjust each team's wins/losses by +-1 or 2.
  • Step 3: Fit them into appropriate bowls, conference position, and ranking based upon results from step 2.
  • Step 4: Publish article and get paid.

For Advanced users only!!!
  • Step 3.1: Research the teams in the top 10, and make arguments for and against those teams based on what everyone else is saying about them.
  • Step 3.2: Choose a couple of "dark-horse" teams and do a slightly less thorough bit of research on them before proclaiming them as unlikely contenders.
  • Step 3.3: Make one outlandish prediction about a team that has less than a 10,000:1 chance of happening.
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