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Old 05-06-2013, 06:48 PM   #1
ucan'tlickourcocks
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Default Baseball Postseason Hopes

Ok..... a week or so back, I was dreaming of a Top 8 Seed. Not sure if we win every game at this point that it would be enough. Seems to me unlikely, that 4 teams could get National seeds from the SEC...... and we are behind Vandy, LSU, and Arky. Only hope we have here is to basically win out (or as close as possible) and have Arky lose out!

So assuming a TOP 8 seed is out, what do we have to do to host a regional?

Personally I believe we have to win both SEC series, and both mid week games. That would put us at 39-16...... I think if Ray breaks out the checkbook, we host at 39-16 IF we win the last 2 SEC series!

Georgia is 6-10 away, and we are 23-6 at home...... so a series Victory here seems beyond plausible! We have swept better teams this year, So I am hoping for the sweep here, but at minimum, 2 of out 3!

Miss. St on the other hand scares me! Miss St is 27-6 at home, and we are 10-6 away. In my opinion, take care of business at Georgia, the Miss St series looms large!!!

Finally, I have one last concern...... and that is squeaking by and get a Host in the Regionals....... then have to travel to Chapel Hill for a Super Regional. Yes I realize that UNC plays in the All-Cupcake-Conference, but they still have amassed quite a record at home......

Bottom line, we have to take the attitude that the playoff starts now!!! We have no more room for mistakes or bad play! We have to suck it up, and somehow channel the courage and energy that we exhibited the last 3 years! Add to that, with the loss to Vandy, we no longer control our own destiny...... we have to hope we get some help along the way!

What are your thoughts?
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Old 05-06-2013, 07:02 PM   #2
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

We definitely still control our own destiny for a regional host. I believe a top 8 seed is pretty much out of the question at this point. Even if we win out from here(8-0) we probably would still not get a top 8 seed. We would need some help from some other teams like Oregon and FSU, then it may still be possible. If we win both of the series left against UGA and at Mississppi State we will definitely host a regional, no doubt there. If we sweep UGA but lose 2 out of 3 to Miss State, we probably still have a pretty good chance of hosting unless we lose the midweek games as well. Although we may need at least 1 win in the SEC tourney to ensure it. This is because of our top class facilities and the fact that there are some teams that are down this year in other areas. The state of Texas(Texas, TCU, Rice, Texas A&M) will not have any regional hosts this year which is unusual so this will free up a host spot for a team in our region.
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Old 05-06-2013, 07:36 PM   #3
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

I don't think it matters whether we are at home or not. I can't see us getting past the regional with the way we look. Depends on the draw. We're not playing really well right not. I know Vandy is very good but we were outplayed by them and with our history that shouldn't happen. We need to tighten up the screws and I think we can. I still have faith. It's baseball.
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Old 05-06-2013, 07:38 PM   #4
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

I hope so........My hours at work depend on it.



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Old 05-06-2013, 07:42 PM   #5
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

We need a strong finish with a run deep into the SEC tourney and we need Arkansas to fizzle a bit.
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Old 05-06-2013, 07:43 PM   #6
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

I think our talent level is top 16 for sure. I'm not so sure about our mental level though. But maybe we can get on a hot streak. Baseball is a fickle sport and teams that get hot at the right time can go a long way.
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Old 05-06-2013, 07:57 PM   #7
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

We're not getting a national seed unless we win out and win the tourney.
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Old 05-06-2013, 08:42 PM   #8
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

Well, Arky has UcheaT and Allbarn left on their schedule....... so I can't see getting much help there......

I guess at this point, all we can hope for is a win streak filled with much improved play to end the season......

If we are fortunate enough to host a Regional, I have to believe that we can Rally the troops and get a regional win......

Just see the writing on the wall...... a trip to Chapel Hill for a Super seems to me to be writing on the wall.......

That loss to Vandy Friday really hurts! Win that game, and we could be having a totally different conversation!
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Old 05-06-2013, 08:48 PM   #9
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

We could get matched with NC St, I suppose
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Old 05-06-2013, 08:52 PM   #10
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

I'll be honest...with the hot and cold way we're playing right now and honestly not knowing which team is going to show up each night, I'd rather go on the road for a Regional b/c I sure as hell don't want to see another team celebrating in our stadium. I have tried and tried to figure out what is exactly "wrong" this year, and I just don't know. Maybe a break will do us all some good. I don't know.
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Old 05-06-2013, 08:55 PM   #11
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

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Originally Posted by USCBatgirl21 View Post
I'll be honest...with the hot and cold way we're playing right now and honestly not knowing which team is going to show up each night, I'd rather go on the road for a Regional b/c I sure as hell don't want to see another team celebrating in our stadium.
That is just dumb, you'd rather be at a disadvantage on the road than be at home and possibly lose.
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Old 05-06-2013, 08:58 PM   #12
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

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Originally Posted by Luke Skycocker View Post
That is just dumb, you'd rather be at a disadvantage on the road than be at home and possibly lose.
I sure as hell don't want to watch another team dogpile on our mound. I've seen it happen. It's NOT at all fun. But by all means, if you don't mind it...knock yourself out.
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Old 05-06-2013, 09:03 PM   #13
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

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Originally Posted by USCBatgirl21 View Post
I sure as hell don't want to watch another team dogpile on our mound. I've seen it happen. It's NOT at all fun. But by all means, if you don't mind it...knock yourself out.
Being at home gives you a MUCH better chance of winning for two reasons. 1) You are the best team in the regional 2) you're on your own field. If you don't care about having the advantage and only care about someone else not winning on your field, then fine, let's go on the road. If you actually care about having the best chance to win, you want to be at home. No doubt.
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Old 05-06-2013, 09:08 PM   #14
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

1) No one ever need to explain to me what being at home in the post season (or at any time) means.
2) This is simply how I feel.
3) A lot of us long time fans were discussing this very scenario this weekend.
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Old 05-06-2013, 09:09 PM   #15
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

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Originally Posted by USCBatgirl21 View Post
1) No one ever need to explain to me what being at home in the post season (or at any time) means.
2) This is simply how I feel.
3) A lot of us long time fans were discussing this very scenario this weekend.
1) It apparently does need to be explained if you'd rather us not play at home.
2) Great.
3) It needs explaining to them too if they agree with you.
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Old 05-06-2013, 10:40 PM   #16
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

I agree that it is very important that we play at home as long as possible in the post season. And I personally believe if we are at home we win a regional. We are still in the driver's seat for a host spot right now. If you think we aren't, you are mistaken. Every respected publication would have us projected to host a regional at this time. If we lose one of the next two series, that could obviously change. But I feel solid about our hosting chances right now.

Lets keep things in perspective here. Friday was a close game that could have gone either way. We hit some balls very well that just didn't drop. That's baseball. Saturday we just got stuffed by one of, if not THE best, pitcher in the country. That Fulmer guy is not too shabby either.

We are certainly capable of winning a regional at home people. I can guarantee there will be no pitching staffs the caliber of Arkansas or Vandy in our regional. Now the supers could be a diff story. We are certainly capable of winning a super but we have to play very well todo it. Whether we win a super or not to me is almost a crap shoot. But I personally believe that we will be playing at home for regional play and that we will win it. I also think we are probably more likely to travel to either NC State or UVA for a super over UNC. But it will take very good baseball to beat either of those teams.
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Old 05-06-2013, 10:45 PM   #17
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

I think we're in good position right now for a host spot. SEC is going to get 2 national seeds & 5 overall regional hosts IMO. 40 wins would should seal it for us. We have 2 midweeks (hopefully can work in a 3rd game given the cancelled Vandy game) and 6 SEC games. If we can get 39 wins before the SEC Tourney & not go 2 & que (or 1 & que if we're not in the top 4) then we'll be alright.

Right now, looking at being matched with the Tar Holes in the Supers (if we get through our regional), but maybe we can get lucky & match up with NC State. I wouldn't mind Virginia either. Still a ways to go to see how we end up.

And as far as "rather going on the road for a regional"....No. Losing isn't fun no matter where your team plays, but as we know playing at home gives the team a distinct advantage to win. Don't want to see them dogpile on our mound? Then don't go/leave early
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Old 05-06-2013, 10:46 PM   #18
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

Team just needs to be in a position to host a regional, and be a high enough seed to possibly host a super if the 8 seed they are paired with loses. I dont know who would ever say Not being at home during the post season isnt an advantage.
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Old 05-06-2013, 10:49 PM   #19
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

just win the uga series and we will be a host. i was reading i think it was kendall's chat on PG today and he said vandy, lsu, SCar are all locks to host. he also didn't rule out miss st and arky hosting as well. we were right there as a top 8 seed last week. 2 losses to arguably the best team in the country didn't hurt that much stock wise. This is the time of year you have to get hot and winning the final 2 series would be huge going forward
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Old 05-06-2013, 10:53 PM   #20
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Default Re: Baseball Postseason Hopes

A seed does not concern me. Nor does the SEC tourney, although I think it may have more bearing on our confidence than in years past. A regional is ours to lose, and the Super is a foregone conclusion..........we're traveling. Our season now depends on our health and confidence. A season to learn................I'll take it.
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